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Bernardeschi is booked for fouling Larsson. Sweden will take their time over this. Italy have a penalty shout! Five minutes added on! Barzagli needlessly clatters into Berg on the half-way line.
Sweden breath a collective sigh of relief. Less than 20 minutes left. Refs been good too. Italy twice go close!
El Shaarawy shoots from 10 yards inside the near post, and Olsen does well to reach high to his right. Next another ball is tossed into the ball, and Parolo climbs like a salmon at the penalty spot, again glancing towards the back post.
It trickles wide, but if El Shaarawy had been more alive, he could easily have had a tap in! Belotti cuts in from the right and fires a lame shot wide.
Italy have five minutes to do this for Antonio Carluccio. Another Italy free kick, another terrible delivery, this time by the substitute Bernardeschi.
Food and drink for the Swedish defence. Sweden embark on a rare counter-attack. Forsberg canters down the left, checks back onto his favoured right and crosses to Berg.
Even if they qualify I feel like they will do some housekeeping and then they might notice that they have a striker scoring some fantastic goals over here in the MLS.
The last thing we need is to lose our best player for 6 weeks next summer. Chiellini is now playing left wing. He glides past Berg, giving the Swedish striker a whack with the elbow and delivers a delicious cross to the back post.
Italy are starting to lose their composure here, as the clock ticks down. Belotti holds the ball up, and then passes the ball out for a Sweden throw in.
Anguish all around the San Siro. Italy are going to make their final change: Bernardeschi on, Candreva off. Buffon should be playing right wing.
Maybe bring on Donnarumma for the last 10, and stick him up front? Sweden make their final change: Rohden on for Claesson, who has been excellent in defence.
Italy have a problem: Sweden have dropped too deep to bother with any through balls, yet when they get the ball wide and cross, their gigantic defence are able to head it clear.
So what they need is a long-range belter, or a moment of mesmeric wide play that lands the ball on a sixpence for Belotti, Immobile and co.
A couple of emails that echo my feelings at this point:. Sweden knocking out Italy would be brilliant! Sweden break and the attacker sends a ball towards Barzagli.
It catche shis hand! He then chases the ref and shouts in his ear before being booked. Looks to be his knee.
He is having some spray applied and could continue. Down to 10 men for now! Florenzi arrives on the scene and absolutely smashes a shot over the bar.
Nervous few minutes for Sweden. He pulls it back but it's cut out again. Italy win it straight back. Sweden taking their sweet time over every restart.
We'll keep an eye on how that progresses throughout the game. There were blues ones but none of them close enough to it.
Probably a smart strategy as they know they're going to probably need to socre. Claesson strikes at Buffon but the veteran gets down well to his left and saves, and also saves it from going out for a corner!
Italy on the front foot again. Catches him late and knew what he was doing too. He just grabbed his knee as he turned and they are never good news.
Stretcher and all on the field. A really, really tight angle but he came close. The ball arrived into the box and it was kicked onto Darmian's hand.
Italy breaks and Parolo shoots first, that's blocked and the Florenzi shoots wide. Free for Sweden as the attacker is peeled off the ground.
Sweden slow the free right down. No chance really of a penalty. Two legs got caught up together. Parolo is taken down, Chiellini is booked now for saying something to Spanish referee Antonio Mateu.
Lots of nervous from both sides. Larsson draped all over his back like a cape. Up into the Milan night sky. Immobile offside as it comes back down toward shim.
Italy recover and start their own attack. Rousing rendition of Italy's national anthem. There might have even been a few tears if that had another two verses.
The Swedish national anthem. Plenty of apprehensive faces in the Swedish line-up. The stands in green, white and red at the San Siro.
Italy have never lost a World Cup qualifier on home soil, which sees them through 54 games. They have failed to win just eight of those games.
Will it be nine tonight? This could be the first World Cup Italy have missed out on since Some of the best players of their generation including the likes of Buffon would hate to have that on their C.
This is going to take a massive reaction from Italy. This is a nice stat but undefeated won't be good enough if they dn't win tonight. Sweden in the driving seat, you might think, but an early goal and Italy will have the momentum and Sweden could very easily blow their chances.
It'll also be interesting to see if they have a couple of tactics depending on how the game goes. Simeone Zaza would have been an ideal replacement up front but he remains sidelined with an injury.
It'll be up to Gabbiadini, who has played 11 times for Southampton in the Premier League this season and scored three goals, along with Ciro Immobile, who has 14 goals in 11 games in Serie A.
Janne Andersson makes two changes from the side that beat Italy in the first leg. Lustig comes in for Krafth and Ekdal makes way for Johansson.
He was the goalscorer the last day! Gian Piero Ventura makes three changes for the return leg against Sweden.
One of those was forced with Verratti picking up another yellow and is suspended. He is replaced by Jorginho. Italy XI to play Sweden: Some of Italy's older players are preparing for a game like they have never played before.
The like of Buffon, Barzagli and De Rossi have all very different reasons for needing to win this game. If you're looking to get yourself in front of a TV screen for tonight's crunch clash at the San Siro, then you may wish to peruse our useful guide on how and where to watch.
Simone Zaza has been in outstanding form for LaLiga's surpirse package this season, Valencia. Not only are his goals helping his side to stay close to Barcelona at the top of the table the Italian striker is looking at some personal records too.
Don't expect too many goals in this match. The other games finished for the Azzurri and OK, we've probably ensured a seven-goal thriller with that comment!
Should Italy fail to get past Sweden this evening it's quite possible there will be a raft of retirements that will change the face of the Azzurri overnight.
Among the current squad Gianluigi Buffon 39 , Andrea Barzagli 36 , Giorgio Chiellini 33 and Daniele De Rossi 34 would all likely consider their futures ahead of another gruelling qualification campaign for Euro So what about this one?
If Sweden gets one of those and puts it away, Italy would have needed three goals, and this team never going to do that with its sloppy play when it mattered most.
Now, can we please start a campaign to get Zlatan Ibrahimovic to come out of international retirement for the World Cup?
Roger Gonzalez is an award-winning writer based in Virginia that has covered pro soccer from Europe's top clubs to Argentina's first division.
Roger started out his pro soccer writing career with Goal. Italy misses World Cup for first time since ; Sweden clinches Russia spot.
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